Middle East Analitika

  Source: Financialtribune Syed Shahnawaz (Simon) Mohsin Independent Political and International Affairs Analyst Concerns of regional conflict in MENA threaten world energy security as the possibility of attacks on regional energy infrastructure rises. The region produces about 30% of global crude oil, the vast majority produced by Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, and UAE. Three major oil transits or chokepoints—the Strait of Hormuz, Bab-el Mandeb Strait, and the Suez Canal—are in this region. About 40 million barrels of fuel pass through these waterways. Some argue that markets may underestimate the geopolitical and potential energy supply disruption risks. However, nuances must be considered. Palestine and Lebanon are not major oil producers. Thus, conflicts there do not directly threaten oil supplies. Nonetheless, a prolonged conflict involving Iran could lead to a significant increase in oil prices. In early October, oil prices increased to a two-year high after the US President m

Source: Vox.com Dr. Miad Nakhavali Foudner of Middle East Analitika In recent days and weeks, Israel has intensified its military operations, targeting not only high-ranking officials of Hezbollah and Hamas but also major figures like Hassan Nasrallah, a key force in Iran's influence over Lebanon. These strikes have led many analysts to argue that while the material losses inflicted on Hamas and Hezbollah by Israel could potentially be refilled through external funding and support, the loss of their charismatic leaders presents a much more profound challenge. Both organizations are heavily dependent on the leadership and symbolic power of these figures to maintain their strategic direction and inspire their followers. However, it appears that both Hamas and Hezbollah may have “possibility plans” in place to address such leadership voids. It seems that these organizations have evolved into more structured military-like entities, complete with an internal hierarchy and succession pla