Middle East Analitika

  Source:asia.nikkei.com Ivan Stoykovich  International Affairs & Political Risk Advisor  The proxy war between Russia and the US-led alliance/NATO alliance has been taking place in Ukraine since Jan. 2022. has entered its most dangerous phase so far. US-manufactured ATACMS long-range missiles were launched last night at Russian Bryansk Region (OS: Брянский район) from the existing HIMARS missile launcher systems in Eastern Ukraine and Odesa region. Regardless of the fact that the attack was symbolic and largely unsuccessful since 5 out of 6 missiles were destroyed, it is still a dangerous provocation that the Russian leadership will undoubtedly respond to accordingly. Based on the currently available information the response will be reciprocal, but in line with the usual MO, or "Russian manner "of conducting its military operations in Ukraine so far, which is basically a slow but steady "grind", not overreacting but maintaining steady pressure and conducting &q

  Source: hespress.com Professor Dr. Eric Lob Associate Professor at Florida International University President Donald Trump will confront heightened regional escalation when taking office if tensions in the Middle East continue along the same trajectory between November and January. Currently, the conflict continues between Israel and Hamas in Gaza and between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon, despite Tel Aviv having decapitated and degraded both adversaries. Concurrently, Iran is purportedly planning to launch another attack against Israel, with greater American assets deployed around the region, including on Israeli soil. So far, US diplomacy has failed to deliver a ceasefire in Gaza or Lebanon, secure the release of Israeli hostages in exchange for Palestinian prisoners, or dial down tensions between Tel Aviv and Tehran.  During the US presidential election on November 5th, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu dismissed Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, who favored a ceasefire and

Source: amuedge.com Mohammad Khatibi Political Commentator and Broadcast Journalist Short answer, not in the near future Iran is situated among numerous U.S. bases, has a NATO state neighbor, and troubled neighbors such as Iraq and Afghanistan. Persian Gulf States are in an active cold war with Iran and terrorism is rife in the Middle East. In contrast with U.S. allies in the region Tehran has no strategic ally and some call it “strategic loneliness”. China and Russia can only be relied on in tactical issues and have repeatedly sided with Iran’s rivals in the region.  Despite Western claims about Iran trying to maximize its “relative strength” which has an offensive nature, the leadership in Tehran has been aiming to maximize “relative security” in a troubled region.  After 9/11 looking at Iran’s actions in the Middle East “security” has been a top priority. Tehran has just reacted to the ongoing threats in the region mainly started by the U.S. Tehran has not been the initiator of a ch