Middle East Analitika

  Source: hespress.com Professor Dr. Eric Lob Associate Professor at Florida International University President Donald Trump will confront heightened regional escalation when taking office if tensions in the Middle East continue along the same trajectory between November and January. Currently, the conflict continues between Israel and Hamas in Gaza and between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon, despite Tel Aviv having decapitated and degraded both adversaries. Concurrently, Iran is purportedly planning to launch another attack against Israel, with greater American assets deployed around the region, including on Israeli soil. So far, US diplomacy has failed to deliver a ceasefire in Gaza or Lebanon, secure the release of Israeli hostages in exchange for Palestinian prisoners, or dial down tensions between Tel Aviv and Tehran.  During the US presidential election on November 5th, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu dismissed Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, who favored a ceasefire and

Source: amuedge.com Mohammad Khatibi Political Commentator and Broadcast Journalist Short answer, not in the near future Iran is situated among numerous U.S. bases, has a NATO state neighbor, and troubled neighbors such as Iraq and Afghanistan. Persian Gulf States are in an active cold war with Iran and terrorism is rife in the Middle East. In contrast with U.S. allies in the region Tehran has no strategic ally and some call it “strategic loneliness”. China and Russia can only be relied on in tactical issues and have repeatedly sided with Iran’s rivals in the region.  Despite Western claims about Iran trying to maximize its “relative strength” which has an offensive nature, the leadership in Tehran has been aiming to maximize “relative security” in a troubled region.  After 9/11 looking at Iran’s actions in the Middle East “security” has been a top priority. Tehran has just reacted to the ongoing threats in the region mainly started by the U.S. Tehran has not been the initiator of a ch

  Source: Financialtribune Syed Shahnawaz (Simon) Mohsin Independent Political and International Affairs Analyst Concerns of regional conflict in MENA threaten world energy security as the possibility of attacks on regional energy infrastructure rises. The region produces about 30% of global crude oil, the vast majority produced by Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, and UAE. Three major oil transits or chokepoints—the Strait of Hormuz, Bab-el Mandeb Strait, and the Suez Canal—are in this region. About 40 million barrels of fuel pass through these waterways. Some argue that markets may underestimate the geopolitical and potential energy supply disruption risks. However, nuances must be considered. Palestine and Lebanon are not major oil producers. Thus, conflicts there do not directly threaten oil supplies. Nonetheless, a prolonged conflict involving Iran could lead to a significant increase in oil prices. In early October, oil prices increased to a two-year high after the US President m

Source: Vox.com Dr. Miad Nakhavali Foudner of Middle East Analitika In recent days and weeks, Israel has intensified its military operations, targeting not only high-ranking officials of Hezbollah and Hamas but also major figures like Hassan Nasrallah, a key force in Iran's influence over Lebanon. These strikes have led many analysts to argue that while the material losses inflicted on Hamas and Hezbollah by Israel could potentially be refilled through external funding and support, the loss of their charismatic leaders presents a much more profound challenge. Both organizations are heavily dependent on the leadership and symbolic power of these figures to maintain their strategic direction and inspire their followers. However, it appears that both Hamas and Hezbollah may have “possibility plans” in place to address such leadership voids. It seems that these organizations have evolved into more structured military-like entities, complete with an internal hierarchy and succession pla

Source: Bloomberg news Dr. Farhang Jahanpour Former Professor and Dean of the Faculty of Languages, University of Isfahan; former lecturer at Cambridge, Harvard, and Oxford universities;  retired Editor for Middle East and North Africa, BBC Monitoring. Dr. Farhang Jahanpour Israel’s massive cyber-attack on Lebanon on 17 and 18 September, with the near-simultaneous explosion of 3,000-4,000 pagers and walkie-talkies, has killed a few dozen Hezbollah members and many civilians, including some children and health workers, has blinded and maimed hundreds of people and wounded many thousands. Hezbollah’s leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, in a long speech on 19 September, frankly admitted that the attacks had delivered a severe and unprecedented blow to the radical movement, but he said that the movement would recover from it. From an intelligence and technical point of view, the booby-trapping of the pagers was a sophisticated espionage operation carried out by the Israeli Mossad. There is an

Source: www.aspistrategist.org Syed Tahir Abbas Researcher at History, Culture, and College of Nationalities,  Southwest University, Chongqing, China. Throughout history, war has driven humanity's most significant technological leaps. From the tank’s debut in World War I to the atomic bomb in World War II, military necessity has consistently fueled innovation. Today, artificial intelligence (AI) is emerging as the latest tool to reshape warfare, proving pivotal in conflicts across Gaza and Ukraine. AI is no longer just a support system—it's becoming a primary actor, altering both strategy and execution in real-time. This article delves deep into how AI is changing the face of warfare, the ethical questions it raises, and its potential long-term consequences. AI on the Battlefield: A Game-Changer or Ethical Dilemma? The concept of AI in warfare may once have seemed like science fiction, but it has now transitioned from theory to practice. Militaries around the world are not just